Until Paul G. Allen and Burt Rutan decide to sell tickets for a ride. The tourist or private sector of space will stay stagnant regardless of wining the xprize contest.
Posted by Harold LaValley at June 2, 2026 10:43 AMI imagine that will happen within a few months of the prize winning flight, assuming they do win it.
Posted by Dogsbd at June 2, 2026 01:04 PMI don't think that's true, Harold. I think it will give many people, including myself, the hope that someday we will go into space. I for one do see this as a turning point for commercial space travel.
Posted by Sammy at June 2, 2026 01:07 PMSpaceShipOne's owners have not declared any further flights after suceeding in achieve the xprize race goals. They have shown no interest in the paying public.
Maybe the second or so on runners up are more willing but mosty will lack the cash flow to pull it off.
I would not read to much into Rutan and companys' silence, they've never even pre-annouced a flight before this. With their history of secrecy I would be surprised if they did annouce any future plans.
Posted by Dogsbd at June 3, 2026 04:59 AMBurt Rutan has announced publicly that he has no intention of certifying SpaceShipOne to carry passengers.
Here is a quote from an Aviation Week article:
"I'm not interested in certifying it, but I'd supply parts to someone who is."
-- Burt Rutan
Here is a link to the Aviation Week article in which the above statement was reported:
[Aviation Week: http://www.aviationnow.com/avnow/news/channel_awst_story.jsp?id=news/04213top.xml ]
Here are a few more articles related to the cost of FAA certifying an RLV for passengers:
[MSNBC: http://msnbc.msn.com/id/3077803/ ]
[The Space Review: http://www.thespacereview.com/article/18/1 ]
Nope, looks like regulations could be the death of space tourism. Man, $100-300 million just to get certified, thats crazy! and licensing isn't enough to provide safety for passengers. What the governmant needs is to handle private space launches seperatly from large commercial and governmant launches.
Posted by Sammy at June 3, 2026 10:20 AM"I'm not interested in certifying it, but I'd supply parts to someone who is."
-- Burt Rutan
Sounds good enough to me, the "I'd supply parts" part. Rutan has developed the machine, he can let someone else market it's commercial use while he moves on to somethng else. I'd rather that happen than for him to get bogged down in marketing this.
As for the exspensive regs, I understand there is work going on to change them. The process just needs to speed up.
Posted by Dogsbd at June 3, 2026 12:36 PMBurt never intended on commercializing SS1 or White Night. Both are experimental vehicles. But Burt has said that he will be scaling them up after he's learned everything he need from this set of vehicles.
Also, AST (part of the FAA) has put forward new rules allowing for any craft who's flight profile is suborbital to qualify passengers as "flight participants" who are required to be qualified for flight and informed about possible risks. But beyond that there is no requirement for vehicle certification according to FAA "common carrier" rules. A better set of definitions are working their way through the house/senate and should be voted on by the end of July (I think).
Posted by Michael Mealling at June 6, 2026 10:05 PM